Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 21 March 2026 at 00:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 73rd strongest of the 207 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 106 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued March 20 at 7:40PM EDT until March 20 at 8:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC

An estimated 265,548 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 20 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence91%
Coordinates38.5445, -76.4186
Nearest CityEaston (39 km)
Population Exposed265.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-20T23:40:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ef063a1c4aa7fca7eea99c3d41304ee8

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescChesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD; Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD; Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD; Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD; Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor; Chester River to Queenstown MD; Eastern Bay; Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River; Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD; Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA; Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA; Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD; Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued March 20 at 7:40PM EDT until March 20 at 8:30PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
Expires2026-03-20T20:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ef063a1c4aa7fca7eea99c3d41304ee8b6bd4b27.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0c7ba1246650c8edf43bfb52f893cb6c79994ab7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.17ab1139259c78c2a3168b663cfe6dc93f6bc035.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude39
Iem Unitmph
Iem City3 ESE Dahlgren
Iem CountyANZ536
Iem StateVA
Iem WfoLWX
Iem RemarkA squall produced an estimated wind gust to 34 knots (39 MPH) near the Pylons Dahlgren WeatherFlow sensor (XPYL).
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_M_38.920_-77.090_1774045200000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774045200000,"latitude":38.92,"longitude":-77.09},{"id":"iem_M_38.310_-77.000_1774049880000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774049880000,"latitude":38.31,"longitude":-77},{"id":"iem_M_38.340_-76.990_1774048920000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774048920000,"latitude":38.34,"longitude":-76.99},{"id":"iem_M_38.330_-77.020_1774050720000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774050720000,"latitude":38.33,"longitude":-77.02},{"id":"iem_M_38.340_-76.970_1774049340000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774049340000,"latitude":38.34,"longitude":-76.97},{"id":"iem_M_38.850_-77.030_1774045560000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774045560000,"latitude":38.85,"longitude":-77.03},{"id":"iem_M_38.640_-77.220_1774046220000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774046220000,"latitude":38.64,"longitude":-77.22},{"id":"iem_M_38.330_-77.020_1774048620000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774048620000,"latitude":38.33,"longitude":-77.02},{"id":"iem_M_38.340_-76.990_1774047120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774047120000,"latitude":38.34,"longitude":-76.99},{"id":"iem_M_38.230_-76.950_1774050720000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774050720000,"latitude":38.23,"longitude":-76.95},{"id":"iem_M_38.310_-77.030_1774049820000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774049820000,"latitude":38.31,"longitude":-77.03},{"id":"iem_M_38.270_-76.880_1774050840000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774050840000,"latitude":38.27,"longitude":-76.88},{"id":"iem_M_38.640_-77.220_1774045620000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774045620000,"latitude":38.64,"longitude":-77.22},{"id":"iem_M_38.340_-76.990_1774050120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774050120000,"latitude":38.34,"longitude":-76.99},{"id":"iem_M_38.240_-76.820_1774050960000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774050960000,"latitude":38.24,"longitude":-76.82},{"id":"iem_M_38.310_-76.930_1774049580000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774049580000,"latitude":38.31,"longitude":-76.93},{"id":"iem_M_38.630_-77.200_1774045740000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774045740000,"latitude":38.63,"longitude":-77.2},{"id":"iem_M_38.340_-76.990_1774051020000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774051020000,"latitude":38.34,"longitude":-76.99},{"id":"iem_M_38.310_-77.000_1774050780000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1774050780000,"latitude":38.31,"longitude":-77}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.